BDA’s Jeff Acton quoted in Bloomberg on Japan’s overseas M&A surge

Bloomberg has featured commentary from BDA Partners in its latest article on Japan’s rising outbound M&A activity, spotlighting Nomura’s $1.8 billion acquisition of Macquarie assets as part of a broader trend.

Jeff Acton, Partner at BDA Partners Tokyo, noted:

“We are seeing an increasing level of interest in assets that could help move part of their supply chain to the US”

highlighting how geopolitical uncertainty and trade tensions are reshaping Japanese corporate strategy abroad.

According to Bloomberg, Japanese firms have announced nearly $28 billion in outbound deals so far in 2025—up nearly 70% from the same period last year. Despite global volatility, long-term investment strategies continue to drive Japanese companies to pursue strategic overseas growth.

Read the full article on Bloomberg

About BDA Partners

BDA Partners is the global investment banking advisor for Asia. We are a premium provider of Asia-related advice to sophisticated clients globally, with 30 years of experience advising on cross-border M&A, capital raising, and financial restructuring. We provide global reach with our teams in New York and London, and true regional depth through our seven Asian offices in Mumbai, Singapore, Ho Chi Minh City, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Seoul and Tokyo. BDA has deep expertise in the Chemicals, Consumer & Retail, Health, Industrials, Services, Sustainability and Technology sectors. We work relentlessly to earn our clients’ trust by delivering insightful advice and outstanding outcomes.

BDA Partners has strategic partnerships with William Blair, a premier global investment banking business, and with DBJ (Development Bank of Japan), a Japanese Government-owned bank with US$150bn of assets.

US securities transactions are performed by BDA Partners’ affiliate, BDA Advisors Inc, a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). BDA Advisors Inc is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA) and SIPC. In the UK, BDA Partners is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA). In Hong Kong, BDA Partners (HK) Ltd is licensed and regulated by the Securities & Futures Commission (SFC) to conduct Type 1 and Type 4 regulated activities to professional investors. www.bdapartners.com

In 2023, the global women’s health market was valued at US$250-300 billion and is forecasted to reach US$500 billion by 2030, demonstrating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 10%. The market encompasses not only reproductive health but also cardiovascular diseases, osteoporosis, endocrine disorders, and mental health. Fueled by unmet medical needs and rapid innovation, the sector is primed for substantial expansion. This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the market’s current landscape, including its definition, key therapeutic areas, investment rationale, and notable transactions.

Key Observations from Recent Transactions:

Enhanced Awareness Boosting Market Growth: Increasing awareness of women’s health issues is amplifying the market’s potential. This growing consciousness spans a comprehensive array of health conditions impacting women, not just limited to reproductive health, but significantly broadening the market’s scope
Strategic Expansion and Investment by Major Corporations and Venture Capitals: Major corporations are solidifying their foothold in the women’s health arena through strategic mergers, acquisitions, and partnerships, particularly focusing on cutting-edge technologies. Simultaneously, venture capital firms are actively supporting startups with convertible bonds and growth equity. Additionally, the investment focus has expanded from traditional sectors like reproductive health, contraception, and fertility treatments to include broader areas. This shift signifies a deeper appreciation of the varied healthcare needs of women throughout their life cycle
Innovation-Driven Growth: The market is characterized by continual innovation, with the introduction of new FDA-approved medical devices for treating conditions like uterine fibroids, and cervical and breast cancers. Developments in FemTech, telemedicine, wearable technology, and AI-driven diagnostics are transforming the sector, creating new avenues for growth

The women’s health sector is experiencing a profound transformation, characterized by market expansion and significant economic potential. Strategic partnerships and technological innovations remain the primary catalysts for growth. Despite facing historical underfunding and other challenges, the industry is set to make substantial progress by capitalizing on global opportunities to enhance comprehensive healthcare for women worldwide.

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About BDA Partners

We assessed both the medical devices (Medtech) and pharmaceutical (Pharma) distribution markets as part of the overall healthcare distribution market, which is collectively expected to grow at a combined CAGR of 7% from US$18bn in 2023 to US$26bn in 2029.

While historically underinvested, the healthcare industry in Southeast Asia (SEA) is becoming a key focal point for public and private investment, driven by growing demand from an increasingly aging population. Healthcare distributors in SEA have been entering the spotlight in recent years, driven by:

Distributors moving up the value chain, offering a breadth of services to global manufacturers including handling regulatory & compliance affairs, commercialization / demand generation, managing public tenders, logistics, technical support / training, financial management, and after-sales services
Competitive moats built via (i) understanding of local markets, regulatory environment, and customers, (ii) commercialization and logistical capabilities which translate to economies of scale, and (iii) entrenched supplier and customer relationships supported by their installed base of equipment
The fragmented nature of SEA, which results in many manufacturers lacking scale to build a local commercial presence in each market, vis-à-vis large homogenous markets such as China and India

Investors are turning their attention to healthcare distribution in SEA, leveraging M&A as a means to diversify geographical or end market exposures, as well as to consolidate the highly fragmented regional market. Many financial sponsors have recognized the huge market potential, building regional healthcare distribution platforms via buy-and-build strategies to achieve scale in SEA.

The distribution sector is resilient, trading at long-term median levels. The sector in SEA is significantly insulated from the impact of trade wars, due to steady demand for health products, and diversified manufacturing source locations.

Download full report here

About BDA Partners

BDA Partners is the global investment banking advisor for Asia. We are a premium provider of Asia-related advice to sophisticated clients globally, with 30 years’ experience advising on cross-border M&A, capital raising, and financial restructuring. We provide global reach with our teams in New York and London, and true regional depth through our seven Asian offices in Mumbai, Singapore, Ho Chi Minh City, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Seoul, and Tokyo. BDA has deep expertise in the Chemicals, Consumer & Retail, Health, Industrials, Services, Sustainability and Technology sectors. We work relentlessly to earn our clients’ trust by delivering insightful advice and outstanding outcomes.

The global wind industry is entering a new era of growth. The need to triple annual installation by 2030 net-zero goals and minimize divergence from a global 1.5 C temperature increase, remains. In this piece, we represent BDA’s insight into the following:

Onshore wind’s relative cost – or levelized cost of energy (LCOE) – dropped by 70% from 2010 to 2023. Onshore wind is now the most competitive global energy solution ahead of solar, hydro, and fossil fuel base-load solutions
Whilst onshore and offshore wind have structural similarities, these differ materially in delivery – given complexities such as size, logistics, supply chain, installation and energy grid connectivity
The wind industry continues on its long-term historical double digit annual growth journey, with onshore wind expected to grow 10% per annum and offshore wind at 22% (2024-2030)
A large portion of the broader wind supply chain sits in China, with Western OEMs manufacturing in the country only to fulfil export / non-Chinese wind turbine demand. Geopolitical tensions are now resulting in increased geographical diversification – with India deemed a winner
Rare Earth Permanent Magnets, made of those scarce elements often used in the e-Mobility industry, may soon blow by as a thing of the past in wind turbines – with new technologies potentially reducing the industry need to 1/10th, given the complete obsolescence of gearboxes in direct drive turbines
We also exclusively interview the Global Wind Energy Council, a leading representative body for the wind industry with over 1,500 member companies, for their independent expert views

Please feel free to contact any of the BDA contacts below.

Download the full report here.

About BDA Partners

BDA Partners is the global investment banking advisor for Asia. We are a premium provider of Asia-related advice to sophisticated clients globally, with 30 years’ experience advising on cross-border M&A, capital raising, and financial restructuring. We provide global reach with our teams in New York and London, and true regional depth through our seven Asian offices in Mumbai, Singapore, Ho Chi Minh City, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Seoul and Tokyo. BDA has deep expertise in the Chemicals, Consumer & Retail, Health, Industrials, Services, Sustainability and Technology sectors. We work relentlessly to earn our clients’ trust by delivering insightful advice and outstanding outcomes.

China’s private equity (“PE”) industry faced strong headwinds in 2022 due to factors including a slowing economy, Covid-19 restrictions, increased regulatory scrutiny, and higher prevailing interest rates globally which weighed on public market valuations. PE exits and fundraising had been challenging during the past year.

However, the China market underwent a dramatic change in recent months as the country’s Zero-Covid policy was relaxed and borders were reopened. The Chinese government implemented measures to boost the economy and private sector investments. This report provides our perspectives on how these changes may impact PE activities and China M&A market in 2023.

The key takeaways in this report are:

The unwinding of Zero-Covid policies will benefit sectors such as consumer, tourism, and property. China’s growth story will be back in focus and investor confidence in the Chinese economy will likely revive. Looking ahead, consumer & retail, manufacturing, energy & resources, life science & healthcare, and logistics & supply chain industries will likely attract the most attention

China M&A market involving Financial Sponsors will be dominated by China GP’s investments in domestic targets. We also expect to see an increase in GP outbound investments in 2023 to diversify their portfolio outside of China

Trade sales and IPOs were difficult in 2022, leading to delays in portfolio company exits and fundraising for PEs. In 2023, we expect to see a greater number of portfolio company exits, with more quality assets coming to the market. We expect tightened regulations and the long backlog for public listings will continue to pose difficulties for IPO exits, and mean trade sale will be a more prominent exit route for PEs in 2023

PEs will likely focus on returning capital to LPs through portfolio company exits in 2023. We expect that fundraising will remain relatively subdued this year, followed by more fundraising activity from 2024 onwards as PEs complete more exits – and need to replenish their capital for new investments

Download the full report

About BDA Partners

BDA Partners is the global investment banking advisor for Asia. We are a premium provider of Asia-related advice to sophisticated clients globally, with over 25 years’ experience advising on cross-border M&A, capital raising, and financial restructuring. We provide global reach with our teams in New York and London, and true regional depth through our seven Asian offices in Mumbai, Singapore, Ho Chi Minh City, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Seoul, and Tokyo. BDA has deep expertise in the Chemicals, Consumer & Retail, Health, Industrials, Services and Technology sectors. We work relentlessly to earn our clients’ trust by delivering insightful advice and outstanding outcomes.

Although COVID-19 did not completely hamper M&A deal flow in Vietnam, travel restrictions and a strict lockdown in the second half of 2021 posed major challenges for buyers and sellers alike. With the gradual unwinding of COVID-related restrictions and the resumption of international flights in October 2021, M&A activity has accelerated. The economy has recovered quickly and the outlook for dealmaking is positive.

Top 10 M&A transactions in Vietnam (October 2021 – August 2022)

Date	Investor	Target	Deal size (US$m)	Stake
Oct-21	SMBC Consumer Finance	FE Credit	1,400	49%
Jul-22	Swire Pacific	Coca-Cola Indochina	1,015	100%
Dec-21	TPG, Temasek, ADIA	The CrownX	350	4%
Nov-21	SK Holdings	The CrownX	345	5%
Dec-21	Mizuho	Momo	200	Undisclosed
Feb-22	AC Energy	Super Energy’s nine solar plants	165	49%
Oct-21	UBS, Mirae, STIC	Tiki	136	Undisclosed
Apr-22	Hana Financial Group	BIDV Securities	118	35%
Aug-22	Masan	Phuc Long	155	34%
Apr-22	Indorama Ventures	Ngoc Nghia Industry	94	98%

Source: Mergermarket

Key drivers propelling post-pandemic deal flow

Vietnam’s economic recovery has proven appealing to investors – it was one of the few countries that recorded two consecutive years of GDP growth in 2020 and 2021 during the height of COVID. According to the General Statistics Office, Vietnam achieved 2.58% GDP growth in 2021 [1], despite experiencing one of the strictest lockdowns in the world during the second half of that year. Looking ahead, the Asian Development Bank is forecasting that Vietnam’s economic growth will recover to 6.5% in 2022[2]. In fact, GDP growth in Q2 2022 was 7.7%, the highest quarterly growth in the last ten years.[3]

Pent-up dealmaking demand is a key driver. Both strategic investors and financial sponsors have a large amount of capital to invest and are keen to identify new opportunities or revive discussions that were on hold. Industry leaders are actively looking for acquisitions to consolidate market share within their verticals, taking advantage perhaps of competitors weakened by COVID and slower to rebound. In addition, many companies are looking to position themselves for recovery in the post-pandemic economy and need new capital injections for internal transformation and further growth in order to remain competitive.

The resumption of international travel is also significant. In-person due diligence and site visits have facilitated many deals that were previously put on hold, especially for asset-heavy industries such as industrials, logistics, and healthcare. Since October 2021, BDA has met with numerous foreign investors who have expressed a strong interest in Vietnam. After a two-year hiatus, BDA organised its annual networking event in Ho Chi Minh City in May 2022 with over 200 participants – mainly investors and corporate shareholders – and all appreciated the opportunity to reconnect in person and discuss the future.

Trends expected to persist post COVID

Domestic investors had an advantage over their foreign counterparts during COVID given their local presence, and this led to an increase in domestic deal flow and volume. Although COVID-related border restrictions have now been lifted, BDA has seen local conglomerates continuing their acquisition spree in a market that has historically been dominated by foreign buyers. For example, in addition to its investment in Phuc Long, Masan also acquired a 25% stake in Trusting Social, a company engaged with credit scoring based on social data, for US$65m in April 2022. This was another transaction in which BDA acted as the exclusive advisor to the target company. Nova Group has been on an acquisition spree, expanding its ecosystem with a focus on Consumer businesses, having acquired and taken over the operations of major F&B establishments such as Jumbo Seafood, Sushi Tei, Crystal Jade, and PhinDeli.

From a deal negotiation perspective, BDA has observed several points that have become particularly important during deal negotiations. With material adverse change (“MAC”) clauses, buyers and sellers now need to acknowledge the risk of a significant downturn in the business as a result of COVID. MAC provisions typically exclude market-wide macroeconomic impact, but since COVID has different effects on different industries, the negotiation of specific triggers in MAC clauses needs to be scrutinised. Earn-outs have become more common by bridging valuation gaps under scenarios of temporary uncertainty, while also enabling sellers to share in the upside of long-term growth. Warranty and indemnity (“W&I”) insurance, a rare option in Vietnam deals in the past, is also being used more frequently, as both buyers and sellers appreciate the benefit of a smoother and faster signing and closing process.

During the height of domestic lockdown and border restrictions in 2021, virtual interaction was the only option in most cases for M&A transactions in Vietnam. We expect that for non-key discussions, virtual meetings will continue to be a common option in the future. However, for other key parts of the transaction process such as site visits and due diligence, which were supported by on-the-ground advisors and virtual tours during COVID, and especially for negotiations, in-person participation will still be preferred going forward.

Global slowdown in M&A in 2022 and beyond

Global M&A in H1 2022 is down 21% by value and 17% by volume compared H1 2021[4], partly due to the cooldown in SPAC-related transactions. Inflationary pressure across the supply chain, geopolitical tensions, and a rising interest rate environment have also contributed to the volatility that could become a recurring theme in the M&A market over the next year or so.

Inasmuch as businesses in Vietnam are not immune to these factors, we still believe that 2022 will remain another busy year for Vietnam’s M&A market. Investors have not shown any reduced appetite in dealmaking in Vietnam, as evidenced in their interest in BDA’s ongoing mandates. We believe that there are a lot of high-quality assets that have proven resilient against turbulence brought about by COVID that are now well-positioned for robust growth, and we look forward to a busy period ahead with a long list of current live deals and ongoing opportunities.

Tailwinds for future growth in M&A in Vietnam include:

Strong socio-economic backbone: Vietnam will still benefit from steady economic growth, political stability, and a bourgeoning middle class population. Participation in multiple free trade agreements and open-market policies make Vietnam an attractive destination for foreign investment
Rising importance as a manufacturing hub: More global corporations are expected to relocate to Vietnam, as the country has made significant progress in infrastructure development to catch up with international standards, with major investments from both public and private sectors. The US-China trade war and prolonged COVID restrictions in China have also led to more manufacturers moving operations to Vietnam
Improving regulatory landscape: It is worth noting that with regards to M&A regulation and processes, local authorities have continuously been improving their turn-around time, while working towards clearer guidelines. For example, Decree 155/ND-CP guiding the implementation of the Law on Securities, which took effect in 2021, has provided additional clarification and detailed guidance with regard to the public tender offer process and foreign ownership limits
Growing familiarity with M&A: Local businesses are becoming more professional with strong management teams and better corporate governance. Vietnamese companies are now more familiar with M&A concepts and are open to consider strategic partnerships with foreign investors, who can provide support through best practices in business operations and have extensive experience from global markets

Most attractive sectors in Vietnam for M&A

Consumer

The Consumer sector will continue to be one of the main drivers of transaction volume
Investors will target Vietnam as one of the fastest growing economies in the region, with its growing middle class and a young population with increasing income and propensity to spend

Healthcare

In response to the lack of capacity within the national healthcare system, there has been an ongoing shift in demand towards private care
Private hospitals will continue to attract interest from both strategic and financial investors, especially as patient volumes and occupancy rates are recovering to pre-COVID levels, while more profitable surgeries and procedures are reintroduced

Education

Within private education, both local and international schools received significant interest from investors before COVID emerged
We expect discussions regarding education assets will be restarted in the near future, as the businesses’ performance recover now that students of all levels have returned to the classrooms

Logistics

Tailwinds from high growth in exports, a booming Internet economy, and supply chain shift from China will continue to propel growth in Vietnam’s logistics industry
Assets in warehousing (especially smart logistics) and cold chain will generate strong interest from global investors

Financial Services

An underbanked population with a shortage of financing and credit solutions will spur further investments in financial services
The focus will be on consumer finance / fintech companies that provide solutions to enable access to non-bank credit for both individuals and micro, small, and medium businesses

Renewable Energy

With a rapidly growing economy, Vietnam has been at risk of power shortages due to a lack of power infrastructure.
Capital injections into the development of renewable energy could provide a suitable solution. Attractive feed-in-tariffs and untapped potential in solar and wind power capacity will make Vietnam an attractive destination for investors

[1] https://e.vnexpress.net/news/business/data-speaks/vietnam-finishes-2021-with-2-58-pct-gdp-growth-4409596.html

[2] https://www.adb.org/countries/viet-nam/economy

[3] https://baochinhphu.vn/gdp-quy-ii-2022-tang-truong-772-102220629090231152.htm

[4] https://www.allenovery.com/en-gb/global/news-and-insights/publications/global-ma-transactions-drop-over-20-percent-but-bright-spots-remain

About BDA Partners

BDA Partners hosted our inaugural China Growth Capital Conference on April 26^th – 28^th. 20 presenting companies from consumer, health, services and technology sectors gave presentations to growth capital investors in over 200 virtual one-on-one meetings.

Anthony Siu, Partner and Co-Head of Shanghai, said: “Our 3-day virtual conference was a big success. It was BDA’s first growth capital conference and it attracted over 300 investors from 150 PE firms to participate in our conference. The attendees included blue-chip global and China USD funds as well as China RMB funds. We also received strong support from Founders and CEOs of high-growth companies in China to present at our conference. These companies represent industries which are at the forefront of China’s economic development including digital health, in-vitro diagnostics, premium healthcare services, lifestyle & wellness and fintech. The strong turnout reflects investor appetite for high-quality companies set to benefit from China’s rapid transformation toward an advanced economy. It also demonstrates ample private market liquidity seeking mid to late stage opportunities in China. We are very pleased to be the partner of choice for our clients in bringing private capital and exciting growth opportunities together.”

We look forward to our next BDA China Growth Capital Conference in 2023, and also the annual BDA PE Conference in late 2022. Please contact us at gcc@bdapartners.com or pe-conference@bdapartners.com if you would like to learn more about either conference, and the benefits of both presenting and attending.

About BDA Partners

Since 2020 BDA has successfully advised on nearly 60 transactions, making us one of the most active M&A advisors in Asia. This level of experience underpins our ability to deliver successful outcomes for our clients under dynamic market conditions.

For over 20 years, our Hong Kong team has advised multinationals on strategic carve-outs and bolt-ons, guided entrepreneurs on divestments and capital raises, and supported financial sponsors on investments and portfolio company exits.

We continue to leverage this experience and insight to deliver value-optimising results for our clients who entrust us with their business.

The enclosed flyer provides a snapshot of our capabilities and our recent track record globally and in the Greater China region. Our experienced and dedicated team of Hong Kong-based bankers is ready to support your M&A ambitions. Should you wish to learn more about BDA, our expertise and how we can assist you, please reach out to one of our contacts below:

Paul DiGiacomo, Managing Partner: pdigiacomo@bdapartners.com
Simon Kavanagh, Partner: skavanagh@bdapartners.com
Karen Cheung, Managing Director: kcheung@bdapartners.com
Mireille Chan, Director: mchan@bdapartners.com
Jakub Widzyk, Director: jwidzyk@bdapartners.com

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About BDA Partners

The article was originally published on April 2022 issue of Vietnam Economic Times

Over the last 25 years, Vietnam has transformed from a low-income country into one of the fastest-growing economies in the world, with GDP per capita increasing nearly ten-fold from 1996 to 2021_[1], supported by a strong socio-economic backbone of a young population and a rapidly-growing middle class. Along with economic growth, merger and acquisition (M&A) activities in Vietnam have also soared, driven by progress in equitization and market liberalization, as evidenced by supportive market regulations for foreign investors. From the quiet days of a handful of small value deals in the late 1990s, Vietnam’s M&A market has been recording over 500 deals each year recently. Larger deals have become more common, with 62 valued at $100 million or more over the last five years. Although challenges remain, the outlook for M&A activities in Vietnam is bright, especially as border restrictions have been relaxed and the country is heading towards post-pandemic recovery.

Figure 1: Number of transactions by year (1996-2021)
Source: Capital IQ

Figure 2: Total transaction value by year and average deal size[2] (1996-2021)
Source: Capital IQ

The emergence of a new M&A market (1996-2004)

Vietnam’s new market economy was gradually developing in the 1990s, after extensive socio-economic reforms brought about by “Doi Moi” policies since 1986. In 1995, Vietnam became a member of ASEAN as part of efforts to rejoin the global economy and attract foreign investment. The early days of M&A activities in Vietnam in the late 1990s to early 2000s were relatively quiet, with no apparent trend, as its economy was still largely dominated by State-owned enterprises (SOEs). There were fewer than ten transactions each year in this period, more than 90% of which were under $5 million.

Top buyer countries: In addition to domestic investors, investors from Denmark and the US were most active, followed by those from developed countries in Asia such as Japan and South Korea. The top position held by Denmark was primarily driven by Carlsberg’s acquisition of Hue Brewery in 2003, with the addition of several small-scale projects in Industrials and Information Technology backed by IFU, the Denmark-based development fund.

Top sectors: Consumer and Financial Services dominated in deal value, driven by (i) Vietnam’s gradual emergence from low-income status at the turn of the 21^st century, and (ii) the Vietnamese Government’s plan to revamp its nascent banking system with foreign investment.

Booming M&A activities due to market liberalization (2005-2013)

From only a handful of deals a year from 1996 to 2004, M&A activities in Vietnam skyrocketed to over 150 deals on average a year in the 2005-2013 period. Deal value and number of deals fell briefly from 2007 to 2009 due to the impact of the global financial recession, before rebounding in later years and peaking in 2011 and 2012 with a number of high-value deals. Transaction size significantly improved, with 90 transactions having over $50 million in value.

M&A activities in Vietnam increased significantly in this period due to:

An influx of foreign capital into SOEs: Major examples are investments by major Japanese banks such as Mizuho and Sumitomo in Vietcombank and Eximbank
A strengthened regulatory framework, as the 2005 Enterprise Law came into effect
Open market access for foreign investors: Vietnam became a member of the WTO in 2007, committing to one of the world’s most progressive market access programs

Top buyer countries: Domestic investors took the top spot with a number of sizeable transactions and many smaller ones (90% of domestic deals were under $10 million). The largest deals from domestic investors had two notable trends:

M&As in Financial Services, with top deals such as SHB’s $168 million acquisition of Habubank and Eximbank’s acquisition of a 9.6% stake in Sacombank for $100 million in 2012
Local conglomerates’ expansion strategies, with top deals such as Masan’s acquisition of (i) an 85% stake in Nui Phao Mining for $100 million in 2010, and (ii) a 40% stake in Vietnamese-French Cattle Feed (Proconco) for $96 million in 2012

Among foreign investors, buyers from Japan, France, the US, and Singapore were among the most active, with eleven transactions surpassing the $100 million mark.

Top sectors: Financial Services overtook Consumer to be the top area of focus for M&As and foreign investments, driven by market consolidation and the restructuring of Vietnam’s banking system. Industrials remained in the top 3, attracting M&A activities from foreign investors due to Vietnam’s potential in natural resources and low labor costs.

Record-breaking deal flow (2014-2021)

In the 2014-2021 period, annual average deal count increased more than three-fold to over 450. Transaction size also significantly improved, with 196 transactions having over $50 million in value; more than double the figure in the 2005-2013 period. 2017 was a record-breaking year in terms of transaction value, driven by ThaiBev’s acquisition of a 53.6% stake in Sabeco in 2017 for $4.9 billion; the largest deal in Vietnam to date. Overall, transaction value was on an upwards trend, peaking at $8.7 billion in 2017 before declining to $6 billion in 2019 as the US-China trade war sparked recession concerns, and $5.2 billion in 2020 due to the impact of Covid-19. However, M&A activities recovered strongly in 2021, with a record year seen in deal volume (651) and value ($8.8 billion), in line with global M&A trends and due to the unleashing of accumulated capital and pent-up deal-making demand. With economic optimism remaining high, especially given new open border policies, 2021 set a solid background for supercharged growth in M&As in 2022 and beyond.

Key drivers for record-breaking deal flows in this period include:

Favorable regulation and market access for foreign investors:
- The 2015 Law on Enterprises and Law on Investment allows foreign investors to own up to 100% of equity in listed companies in Vietnam, except for ones constrained by:
  - Foreign ownership restrictions, as set out in commitments to international treaties
  - Conditional lines of business
  - Voluntary limits imposed by shareholders

Vietnam’s participation in major free trade agreements such as the EU-Vietnam Free Trade Agreement and the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership

Top buyer countries:

Thai and South Korean buyers showed an appetite for large-sized deals, as evidenced by ThaiBev’s acquisition of a 53.6% stake in Sabeco for $4.9 billion in 2017 and the SK Group’s acquisition of a 6.1% stake in Vingroup for $1 billion in 2019
Singaporean and Japanese investors were more attracted to small and medium-sized transactions, with only 5% of transactions having over $100 million in value
Deal flow involving domestic buyers, though no longer remaining at the top position, was still significant in volume, although 90% of transactions were under $10 million in value. Major deals with domestic buyers included Vingroup’s acquisition of a 96.5% stake in the Bao Lai JSC, a white marble mining company, for $119.8 million, and Masan’s acquisition of a majority stake in Phuc Long for over $100 million

Top sectors:

Information Technology emerged among the top 5, driven by private equity and venture capital investors betting on Vietnam’s dynamic internet economy, with the internet penetration rate doubling from 35% in 2011 to 70% in 2021 (according to the World Bank)

Deal flow and volume in Infrastructure, Government & Utilities was driven by transactions involving renewable energy. The largest deals included Chaleun Sekong’s $99 million acquisition of the Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hydropower Plant JSC and Banpu’s $66 million acquisition of the Mui Dinh Wind Farm

Although Real Estate M&A transactions (asset / project / land bank transfer) were not considered for M&A statistics here, it is worth noting that Real Estate also saw a boom in transaction numbers and value in the period, driven by rapid urbanization in Vietnam. There were 79 deals totaling $1.7 billion from domestic buyers and 178 deals totaling $4.4 billion from foreign investors.

Future outlook

Recent outbreaks of Covid-19 might put a temporary halt on progress in economic growth but will not reverse ongoing progress in socio-political changes in Vietnam, which will set a solid foundation for the next 25 years. Vietnam will continue to enjoy (i) a bourgeoning middle class with increasing spending power, (ii) a young population with a high urbanization rate, and (iii) stable political standing. As Covid-related restrictions have been relaxed, Vietnam’s economy is expected to strongly recover as the fastest-growing economy in ASEAN, with 6.6% growth in 2022, followed by the Philippines (6.3%) and Malaysia (6.0%). Since 2019, factory relocations from China or other parts of Southeast Asia have been driving an influx of foreign capital; a trend expected to persist in the next 25 years as Vietnam cements its strategic importance as a manufacturing hub in the region. Market liberalization will also continue to serve as the backbone for Vietnam’s economy, with government policies focusing on free trade agreements.

Expected trends

Environmental, social, and governance (ESG) criteria will become more deeply integrated into Vietnam’s M&A market.

Private equity investors have become more active in Vietnam in recent years. Recent examples of large deals involving private equity investors include KKR’s $650 million investment in Vinhomes in 2020, $400 million investment led by Alibaba Group and Baring Private Equity Asia (BPEA) and $350 million investment by a consortium of TPG, Temasek, and the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority in The CrownXin 2021. More and more global and regional private equity firms have established a local presence in Vietnam, with dedicated investment teams and networks of advisors on the ground.

Asia-Pacific investors will continue to rank higher in deal volume compared to their European and North American counterparts.

Buyout transactions have become more common, especially due to the impact of the pandemic, which led to the consolidation of small and medium-sized players into respective market leaders. Local conglomerates such as Vingroup, Masan, and the Nova Group have all been active in acquiring targets across different industries both within and beyond their core capabilities, such as education, technology, and F&B, etc., and are expected to accelerate their expansion strategies through acquisitions in the future. Foreign investors, on the other hand, have been increasingly active in pursuing buyout transactions in Vietnamese businesses, as seen in the Stark Corporation’s acquisition of ThiPha Cable and Dovina in 2020 and SCG Packaging’s acquisition of Duy Tan Plastics in 2021, for both of which BDA served as sellside advisor. Financial sponsors have also been active in buyouts of Vietnamese companies, as evidenced in acquisitions of majority stakes in Vietnam USA Society English Centers (VUS) and Vietnam Australia International School by BPEA and TPG, respectively.

Sectors of focus include consumer, healthcare, industrials, IT/technology, and renewableeEnergy.

In conclusion, we remain confident in the availability of opportunities in Vietnam’s M&A market going forward, especially now that social distancing restrictions have been lifted and borders are expected to be fully open this year. We at BDA in Ho Chi Minh City have seen strong interest from investors looking for sizable transactions, as foreign investors interested in Vietnam have accumulated a lot of dry powder since 2020 and are ready to revive deals that were put on hold or cancelled. Meanwhile, we are also observing strong demand for growth capital and exits from both founder-backed and private equity-owned companies, as evidenced by current live deals and strong pipelines of opportunities for 2022 and beyond.

[1] Source: International Monetary Fund

[2] Excluding transactions with undisclosed value

About BDA Partners

In recent years, moderating GDP growth, fierce competition from local players, rising geopolitical tensions, major regulatory changes, and management constraints stemming from the COVID pandemic have led many MNCs to consider taking a step back from China.

Since 2017, multinational corporations (“MNCs”) have realized nearly US$100bn from divestitures of PRC-based assets, with ~90% of transactions concluded with Chinese buyers. Today, the appetite of PRC corporates/sponsors for quality China operations is at an all-time high, and a well-run process can deliver strong returns for an asset with diminishing strategic value.

In our latest Insights, Unlocking Value with Strategic Corporate Divestments in China, we examine the recent expansion of MNC divestments in the PRC and discuss how on-the-ground insights and careful process management can optimize value in such a situation.

Click to download: Unlocking Value with Strategic Corporate Divestments in China

BDA is highly experienced in corporate exits, both in China and across Asia. For a further discussion please reach out to one of our contacts below:

Jeffrey Wang, Partner, Shanghai: jwang@bdapartners.com
Anthony Siu, Partner, Shanghai: asiu@bdapartners.com