BDA hosted 2022 Consumer and Retail Forum in Hong Kong

BDA Partners and Roland Berger jointly hosted the 2022 Consumer & Retail Forum in Hong Kong.

60 participants attended, from 40 companies: a combination of prominent consumer goods companies and leading financial sponsors.

BDA Partners’ Head of Hong Kong Office and Partner, Simon Kavanagh opened the Forum, and BDA Partners’ Managing Director and Head of Consumer & Retail, Asia, Karen Cheung gave a keynote presentation.

The panel discussions involved industry leaders and sector experts, exchanging insights and ideas, touching on thought-provoking ESG and climate change issues. They also discussed topics impacting Asian supply chains, as well as the future of retail and e-tail.

Panel discussion topics included:

• Supply chain disruptions: challenges, opportunities and trends
• ESG: The rise of the conscious consumers and investors
• Retail vs e-tail: transformation of consumer experience

Karen Cheung, Managing Director and Head of Consumer & Retail Asia, BDA, said: “It was encouraging to see so many industry players and investors having a positive outlook on 2023. We expect to see promising opportunities in consumer and retail within the region. We look forward to working with our clients to unlock them.”

BDA will again hold the Consumer & Retail Forum next year.  We look forward to seeing all our guests again.

If you want to find out more, please contact our team at BDAHK2022CandRforum@bdapartners.com.

The FinTech sector in Southeast Asia (SEA) has been flourishing in recent years, with ever-increasing capital flowing into the region from global investors and market leaders. In our latest insight, we take a closer look at the key trends that make SEA an attractive FinTech market, the dynamics within key FinTech verticals, and how we expect financing activity to evolve.

Key takeaways:

State of the Tech markets

• Global equities are experiencing high volatility and have been roiled over inflation fears, rising geopolitical tensions, and escalating interest rates
• High-growth companies are witnessing the greatest share price declines (>50%) as cash flows far out into the future are discounted harder, amid rate hikes
• While public Tech valuations appear to have plummeted, they have in fact eased down to the 10-year historical baseline
• The pace of private capital deployment may have moderated relative to 2021, but remains vigorous and surpasses that of all preceding years
• All-time high dry powder in 2022 is expected to fuel continued deal velocity

SEA FinTech landscape and exit thoughts

• SEA is one of the most vibrant Tech ecosystems globally with a booming FinTech sector
• Singapore and Indonesia account for two-thirds of SEA FinTech deals
• Payments and lending drive more than half the region’s FinTech deals by value; crypto/web3 companies have been gaining traction among earlier-stage investors amid growing institutional awareness
• Mounting unrealised value at a time when public listings/SPACs have lost their shine as a viable, attractive exit route
• Private financing rounds/M&A are expected to intensify over the longer term as the ecosystem matures and more investors flock to SEA to tap into the region’s growth, talent, and disruptive business models

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The 2022 Consumer and Retail Investment Forum, hosted by BDA Partners and OC&C Strategy Consultants on 2nd September, was a great success. The Forum focused on Consumer investment opportunities post-COVID. 65 senior executives attended, from multinational corporations, state-owned enterprises, publicly listed companies, and leading private equity firms. They held lively discussions on market trends, outlook and opportunities coming out of COVID.

Since the outbreak of COVID in 2020, the Consumer industry has been dented.  Investor confidence has dampened. COVID was a stress-test for enterprises, as well as a touchstone to test the vision and capability of every player in the industry.

Bringing deep combined insights on the Consumer sector, BDA and OC&C co-hosted the in-person gathering in Shanghai. The Forum comprised five sessions, including keynote presentations and panel discussions, illuminating the post-COVID macro environment, industry outlooks, M&A and capital raising opportunities, and ready-to-cook sector trends.

If you want to find out more, please email our team at CR-event@bdapartners.com.

In the last few years, several trends have gained traction in Japan’s M&A market. The trends had already begun to take hold before COVID, which did not slow their development. In our latest insight, we take a closer look at three of the most significant trends, which are interrelated and are driving one another: 1) divestments by Japanese companies; 2) the ever-increasing activity of PE funds; and 3) the growing influence of activist funds.

Key takeaways:

Japanese companies are increasingly willing to divest non-core subsidiaries and assets, driven by changing perceptions about corporate divestments

• This has been led by large-cap companies so far, but smaller companies are expected to join as they also begin to appreciate the benefits

Divestments by Japanese companies are proving to be fruitful targets for PE funds, who are aggressively entering Japan market and raising record levels of capital

• Many corporate carveouts in Japan over the last few years have seen PE funds emerge as the successful acquirer

Another set of investment funds, activist investors, have stepped up their activity in Japan, embarking on campaigns against large companies to pressure them to increase corporate value

• A common demand of activist campaigns is the divestment of non-core assets, which feeds into the first trend, thus continuing the cycle

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As an increasing number of countries in Asia achieve an 80% vaccination rate, they are gradually removing COVID-19 social and border restrictions. BDA Partners is revisiting the fundamentals and attractiveness of the Asian healthcare services sector.

Healthcare services is the largest part of the healthcare industry in Asia. Its market size is expected to reach US$1.4tr by 2026[1], driven by a growing population, rising affluence, and a mounting disease burden.

Key takeaways:

• Demand for healthcare services in Asia will continue to rise — the segment is growing at a faster pace than the overall healthcare industry, although healthcare infrastructure has been under-invested historically
• Even as governments across Asia increase their budget allocation to healthcare, the private sector continues to play an important role, providing capital and improving the efficiency of the healthcare system
• Financial sponsors have been, and will continue to be, active buyers of quality hospitals and healthcare services assets. Sponsors have been involved in 25% of healthcare services transactions from 2017-2021
• The global dry powder of private equity funds reached a new record of US$1.8tr in February 2022, following a record year of fundraising
• Asian M&A activity in the next two to three years will be strong, driven by consolidation and bolt-on acquisitions by strategics in their core markets, and investments by financial sponsors into both platform and growth companies

In this piece, we examine post-COVID sector trends and M&A activities in SE Asia, Greater China, and India.

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Contact BDA health team

Andrew Huntley, Managing Partner, Global Head of Healthcare, London / Ho Chi Minh City: ahuntley@bdapartners.com

Anthony Siu, Partner, Co-Head of Shanghai: asiu@bdapartners.com

Sanjay Singh, Managing Director, Head of India, Co-Head of Asia Healthcare: ssingh@bdapartners.com

Claire Zhen, Director, Shanghai: czhen@bdapartners.com

Aditya Jaju, Vice President, Mumbai: ajaju@bdapartners.com

Yan Xia, Vice President, Singapore: xyan@bdapartners.com

Zhang Simeng, Vice President, Shanghai: szhang@bdapartners.com

[1] _{Fitch and Statista}

There has been a distinct focus on ESG and sustainability in Asian private equity deal activity in the first half of 2022, with implications for new investments, portfolio management and exits. We have seen this trend accelerate as we advise on a series of such transactions this year.

Asian sponsors are evaluating deals through an ESG lens

Western sponsors have thus far largely led the way on ESG considerations in M&A, with their APAC counterparts lagging behind. According to a recent Bain[1] survey, only 65% of APAC sponsors expect their LPs to scrutinise ESG issues over the next three years, compared to 96% and 80% for North America and Europe respectively.

However, the ESG agenda in Asian business is now picking up significant momentum. The survey[2] also found 57% of Asian GPs plan to materially increase their ESG efforts over the next three to five years, up from 30% in 2019. This goes beyond just compliance and regulatory reporting, with more and more funds adopting an explicit – and exclusive – focus on new investments that will have both a positive impact and generate higher financial returns.

These twin goals are no longer seen as contradictory, rather, self-reinforcing. In a McKinsey Global Survey[3], C-suite leaders indicated they would be prepared to pay a 10% premium to acquire a company with a positive ESG track record versus a company without one. Furthermore, the consensus was that ESG programmes created value over the short and long term.

PE funds are proactively issuing ESG/sustainability related reports (i.e. EQT, Partners Group, Carlyle, and Permira, all with a major presence in Asia) which have started to disclose ESG measurements at the fund and portfolio company level, including scope 1 and 2 carbon emissions, energy consumption, diversity and inclusion metrics, corruption, etc. Those that have set up an ESG reporting framework and roadmap for each portfolio company across the investment lifecycle will be better placed for a successful exit.

Source: Bain Asia-Pacific Private Equity Report 2022

Deal types

Robust and high ESG standard gives an investment opportunity a competitive edge, without which will greatly hinder financial sponsors’ deal appetite, whether deploying dedicated “impact-labelled” funds or generalist capital. We have witnessed exceptional demand for ESG-oriented business models in 2022 such as: validation of supply chains and workforce conditions, responsible electronic waste recycling and a range of renewable energy plays. Conversely, the manufacturing of consumer items that lack a sustainability narrative find it harder to navigate the investment committee stage. Investment committees are also putting greater focus on ESG at the M&A decision making stage and more are avoiding certain end markets with a high carbon intensity.

“BDA is building a solid track record in sustainable infrastructure and services in Asia, and globally for Asian clients.”

Lars Freitag, Managing Director and Head of Sustainability: Services & Infrastructure, BDA Partners

Exit implications for PEs

ESG is now front and centre in both M&A due diligence and the value creation playbook.

For M&A due diligence, the role ESG plays can vary from a simple red flag checklist to a dedicated ESG vendor due diligence report (with comparisons to market competitors, emissions calculations etc.) or even a full-scope ESG value creation assessment. Red flag reports are rapidly becoming the norm in Asia, but the latter two are less common due to on-going challenges such as insufficient data for benchmarking (making it too difficult to correlate to value) or lack of expertise (to effectively analyse the data). There is no “one-size-fits-all” approach to ESG due diligence and should be assessed on each specific transaction, sector, client, etc. as different businesses will present different ESG issues to be considered.

“We are finding that, when presented with an acquisition opportunity, sponsors are asking ‘How does this business make the world a better place?’ Without a convincing answer to potential investors in our marketing materials and due diligence, any sellside process is more at risk, even in Asia.”

Paul DiGiacomo, Managing Partner and Head of Financial Sponsor Coverage, BDA Partners

Aided by such references as Principles for Responsible Investment (“PRI”), Sustainability Accounting Standards Board (“SASB”) and UN’s Sustainable Development Goals (“SDG”), sponsors are encouraging Asian portfolio companies to not only implement action plans to improve ESG performance and reporting, but also ensure that such steps generate robust and quantifiable data to increase accountability. The clear expectation is that being ready to present sustainability KPIs will pave the way for a smoother and more remunerative exit.

One example is the Baring Private Equity Asia (“BPEA”) stewardship of HCP, the Shanghai-headquartered packaging company serving the global cosmetics market. Since its acquisition in 2016, BPEA drove a transformation of HCP’s ESG and sustainability capabilities, including developing refillable packages and use of sustainability-certified manufacturing facilities.This greatly facilitated the onward sale to Carlyle, which was announced in May and should close in Q32022.

“ESG considerations are being tracked and monitored by management and shareholders, and are quickly becoming an important value creation strategy in Asia, including for building brand equity.”

Mark Webster, Partner and Head of Services, BDA Partners

* BDA transaction

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[1] Bain Asia-Pacific Private Equity Report 2022

[2] Ibid

[3] www.mckinsey.com/business-functions/sustainability/our-insights/the-esg-premium-new-perspectives-on-value-and-performance, February 2020.